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Home›Debt Overhang›Like Howard, the Prime Minister prefers politics to politics

Like Howard, the Prime Minister prefers politics to politics

By Lisa Small
March 13, 2021
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Scott Morrison’s modus operandi mimics that of John Howard.

It’s primarily about working the federal government on a day-to-day foundation, with little or no strategic pondering or long-term planning on main political points – it’s virtually solely pushed by political and advertising and marketing methods, bulletins / occasions / waterfalls.

The tip recreation is just to win the subsequent election, and the day by day aim is to attenuate the danger in doing so.

As challenges come up, the preliminary response is reactive, not proactive, to allow them to run round for some time to see how they play out, “nothing to do right here” – possibly they may even resolve themselves. of themselves. However, whether it is in the end essential to act, the reply is to do as little as attainable.

Nevertheless, as soon as a place is taken, it isn’t negotiable.

This led to Howard’s intransigence on points comparable to ratifying Kyoto and saying “sorry” to the stolen technology. Morrison’s stance on refusing an impartial inquiry into Christian Porter could show to be simply as essential on the electoral entrance.

Scott Morrison, like John Howard, suffers from intransigence on key points.

Given the significance of Porter’s query, approaching the heels of Higgins’ revelations, with essential wider ramifications, Morrison’s modus operandi precluded the apparent and logical reply.

As quickly as Morrison was briefed and raised the costs with Porter, he may have arrange a joint press convention with Porter, pressured the significance of the matter, after which introduced a full impartial investigation, which he may have claimed would have an effect on the center. of the query, whereas additionally giving Porter an opportunity to clear his title, having declared his innocence. This might have minimized the potential for litigation by the media.

If you hear that neither Morrison nor Porter learn the “transient” offered to the police, you’ll be able to start to know how they had been simply hoping to “harden” after Porter’s most annoying press convention, hoping it will all go away.

Scott Morrison says he has not learn the report of the allegations in opposition to Christian Porter.

This utterly missed the significance and urgency of the matter, and was not helped by Morrison asserting 4 extra investigations fairly than sticking to the principle recreation, nor by his more and more sharp opposition to ” extrajudicial inquiries ”.

He ought to replicate on the truth that Howard in the end misplaced each his seat and his authorities by sticking to the unconventional stances on Kyoto and the Sorry Declaration, which gave Rudd a foundation for an electoral victory technique.

Past politics, Morrison’s political-like methods can have very severe long-term political penalties because of coverage drift – issues don’t go away, however enhance in depth and urgency, making the solutions final. tougher, disruptive and “costly” than they in any other case would have been.

One of the best present instance is the senior care scandal, the place the implications of ‘neglect’ no less than over the previous 20 years, recognized by the royal fee in 148 suggestions, are prone to price tens of billions of {dollars} and require consideration. efficient bipartisan reform to be carried out persistently over no less than 5 years.

Likewise, the federal government’s financial coverage response to COVID, with its already far-reaching penalties on the deficit and debt, has but to shift to an efficient restoration technique. It is easy to get misplaced within the whirlwind and the satisfaction – Josh Frydenberg’s declare that that is “the primary time in recorded historical past that Australia has skilled two consecutive quarters of financial development of greater than 3 %. hundred”.

He would love us to neglect in regards to the traditionally bigger collapse within the first two quarters of final yr, totaling greater than the 2 quarters of development, not but recovering the scale of the pre-COVID economic system, and leaving an economic system behind. which is greater than 10% smaller than was predicted earlier than COVID.

It’s straightforward to make the expansion figures “proper” whenever you inject some 17 % of GDP into the economic system, with the most affordable credit score accessible.

Nevertheless, it’s way more troublesome to scale back this fiscal stimulus whereas having to lift taxes to finance the restore of different structural weaknesses, to deal with the numerous enhance in inequality, rising debt overhang, and to fulfill decades-long imperatives such because the local weather.

The local weather is a traditional instance of the Morrison authorities’s technique of doing as little as attainable to get by, regardless of the overwhelming momentum creating amongst households, companies, establishments, civil society and internationally to an pressing and decisive authorities response, for the transition to a low-carbon Australia by mid-century.

Morrison is now going to make some fairly ridiculous efforts to make it seem like he is being dragged screaming towards a proper aim of internet zero by 2050, however such a aim is a fable if he stays decided to scale back from 26 to twenty-eight. % emissions by 2030. The 2030 goal would must be 50-60% to succeed in the online zero goal – in any other case, it will lock future governments into annual reductions that will be multiples of these achieved earlier than 2030.

Pacific leaders have written an open letter to Scott Morrison urging him to take motion on local weather change.

The local weather problem overshadows what we have been by with COVID, science is way extra typically evidence-based and authoritative than re-COVID medical recommendation, and there’s no vaccine for the local weather.

Different essential examples of coverage drift embrace the popularity of the early Australians, which has now been drifting for 250 years; our more and more advanced, inequitable and inefficient tax system; retirement pension, and plenty of others.

I lengthy for the times, as I’ve been advised, when a minister of a giant ministry took the accountability of presidency critically, telling the secretary of that ministry, on a really troublesome challenge – “Your job is to get the coverage proper, mine is to elucidate it and promote it ”.

John Hewson is the Crawford College ANU Professor and former Chief of the Federal Liberal Opposition



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